Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-25 0.011784 0.013678 0.015767 0.018243 0.021096 0.024279 0.028099
2026-02-01 0.008705 0.011081 0.013943 0.017639 0.022282 0.027918 0.035274
2026-02-08 0.006783 0.009352 0.012691 0.017333 0.023614 0.031803 0.043286
2026-02-15 0.005360 0.007934 0.011508 0.016815 0.024476 0.035114 0.050988
2026-02-22 0.004643 0.007319 0.011261 0.017462 0.026938 0.040840 0.062746
2026-03-01 0.003920 0.006546 0.010629 0.017396 0.028289 0.045085 0.072885
2026-03-08 0.003233 0.005696 0.009720 0.016723 0.028548 0.047636 0.080687
2026-03-15 0.002780 0.005145 0.009191 0.016555 0.029547 0.051412 0.090865
2026-03-22 0.002573 0.004982 0.009281 0.017428 0.032387 0.058537 0.107510
2026-03-29 0.002336 0.004722 0.009154 0.017883 0.034525 0.064677 0.123164
2026-04-05 0.002017 0.004251 0.008565 0.017385 0.034827 0.067542 0.133187
2026-04-12 0.001777 0.003897 0.008145 0.017143 0.035561 0.071252 0.145189
2026-04-19 0.001542 0.003520 0.007632 0.016662 0.035795 0.074108 0.156053
2026-04-26 0.001354 0.003214 0.007222 0.016331 0.036289 0.077531 0.168492
2026-05-03 0.001206 0.002971 0.006910 0.016163 0.037096 0.081674 0.182918
2026-05-10 0.001059 0.002707 0.006510 0.015738 0.037280 0.084521 0.194920
2026-05-17 0.001001 0.002649 0.006571 0.016377 0.039932 0.092999 0.220299
2026-05-24 0.000908 0.002484 0.006356 0.016332 0.040993 0.098066 0.238594
2026-05-31 0.000793 0.002246 0.005930 0.015707 0.040586 0.099729 0.249196
2026-06-07 0.000717 0.002098 0.005704 0.015554 0.041308 0.104110 0.266778
2026-06-14 0.000694 0.002093 0.005850 0.016378 0.044602 0.115040 0.301626
2026-06-21 0.000655 0.002036 0.005847 0.016808 0.046930 0.123864 0.332255
2026-06-28 0.000584 0.001873 0.005531 0.016340 0.046817 0.126534 0.347490